Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Fw: ***NWS Raleigh Briefing***

Please review the attached 5 PM NWS Raleigh - News Release concerning Hurricane Irene.  Since the last update Irene has shifted again to the right or in a more easterly directions.  Weather forecasters are cautiously predicting impacts primarily for the coastal areas.  
 
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, August 23, 2011 5:09 PM
Subject: ***NWS Raleigh Briefing***

Please see the latest weather briefing online highlighting the weather situation. Weather Briefing: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rah/downloads/Briefings/

Here are the high points of the attached briefing:
  • Once again, the track has been shifted to the right. Confidence is increasing that that primary impacts will be confined to the coastal areas…and particularly the Outer Banks.
  • Those in the central portion of the state should not let their guard down as things can still change, and some impacts are still expected…particularly with respect to heavy rain chances.
  • This storm is still 4 days away and tweaks to the forecast track are still expected.
  • If track doesn't change much, the first of the impacts may be felt by late Friday or early Saturday
  • Those planning to travel to the coast this weekend should pay close attention since the greatest impacts are expected along the coast, and particularly the Outer Banks.
  • 90-day rainfall across the SE part of the state is about 6-12 inches below normal, so rainfall with this system is much needed and would help alleviate drought conditions. However, if the track continues to shift east, drought relief may be limited.
With this said, the possible NC impacts starting late Friday and lasting through Sunday include:
  • Dangerous rip currents along the beaches
  • Heavy rain near the coast…lighter amounts west of I-95. Localized poor drainage flooding expected with any heavy rain.
  • Tropical and hurricane force winds mainly near the coast
  • Coastal storm surge possible
  • Brief tornadoes…mainly to the north and east of the track
Let me know if you have any questions.  I can be reached at (919)515-8209, ext 223.

Thanks,
Nick Petro

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