Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Fw: ***NWS Raleigh Briefing***

 
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, August 23, 2011 12:07 PM
Subject: Fw: ***NWS Raleigh Briefing***

For Everyone's Situational Awareness
 
Below and attached is the latest National Weather Service (NWS) Raleigh Weather Forecast for Hurricane Irene.  This will be a weekend event for our County considering the current track which is still subject to shift and change. Please start PREPARATIONS for this event, think about safeguarding our workplace (Offices / Computers etc) and also your family and homes. Although this will be primarily a rain event, strong winds, tornadoes and flooding are all possible.  Additionally our county is part of the Eastern Branch area of the NC Emergency Management System and the Eastern Branch Office located in Kinston NC is opening their Emergency Operation Center (EOC) on Thursday and we will also start our State EM Conference Call System on Thursday with the 1st Conference call scheduled for 9 am.  In the mean time, those county departments with Sheltering Responsibilities, (DSS, Health Department, Sheriff's Office, Red Cross and the School System) should alert potential shelter staff for a possible shelter operations.  Our primary Shelter if needed will be East Hoke Middle School.  My office will keep you informed with more defined information and actions as we get closer to the weekend and more detailed weather information concerning our area is available.  As always feel free to call us.   
 
Freddy
 
---- Original Message -----
Subject: ***NWS Raleigh Briefing***

Please see the latest weather briefing online highlighting the weather situation. Weather Briefing: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rah/downloads/Briefings/

Here are the high points of the attached briefing:
  • Once again, the track has been shifted to the right. If this trend continues…primary impacts will be confined to the coastal areas.
  • Confidence is high regarding coastal impacts, but decreasing confidence that central portions of the state will be impacted.
  • This storm is still 4 days away and tweaks to the forecast track are still expected.
  • If track doesn't change much, the first of the impacts may be felt by late Friday or early Saturday
  • Those planning to travel to the coast this weekend should pay close attention since the greatest impacts are expected along the coast, and particularly the Outer Banks.
  • 90-day rainfall across the SE part of the state is about 6-12 inches below normal, so rainfall with this system is much needed and would help alleviate drought conditions. However, if the track continues to shift east, drought relief may be limited.
With this said, the possible NC impacts starting late Friday and lasting through Sunday include:
  • Dangerous rip currents along the beaches
  • Heavy rain near the coast…lighter amounts west of I-95. Localized poor drainage flooding expected.
  • Tropical and hurricane force winds mainly near the coast
  • Coastal storm surge possible
  • Brief tornadoes…mainly to the north and east of the track
Let me know if you have any questions.  I can be reached at (919)515-8209, ext 223.

Thanks,
Nick Petro
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