From The National Weather Service… heavy rain possible
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 330 AM THURSDAY...THE INTERACTION BETWEEN MID TO UPPER TROUGH...A LINGERING FRONT/TROUGH AND TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM JOAQUIN WILL CREATE AN UNSETTLED FORECAST WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. DUE TO THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE RAIN AT TIMES...POTENTIAL FOR UPWARDS OF 5 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN PLACES ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. A FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF FRIDAY. OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST HAS CLOSEST APPROACH OF JOAQUIN SAT EVENING WHICH AT THIS POINT IS ROUGHLY 200 MILES OFF THE CAPE FEAR COAST. THE LATEST GFS FORECAST HAS JUMPED FARTHER EAST WITH CLOSEST APPROACH SAT NIGHT ABOUT 400 MILES EAST OF CAPE FEAR WHILE THE ECMWF WAS SLOWER AND FARTHER EAST. WILL NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE WATCH ON THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE JOAQUIN...BUT EITHER WAY THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY. FOR NOW IT LOOKS LIKE THE MID TO UPPER LOW WILL NOT PULL JOAQUIN INTO THE CAROLINAS BUT WILL INSTEAD GUIDE IT UP TO THE NORTH THROUGH THE OFF SHORE WATERS.
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